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Egypt vs Angola — AFCON Qualifiers

Egypt crestEgypt
Full time0–0
Angola crestAngola

How the call landed

AFCON Qualifiers·25 Sep
Missed
Model called
Egypt crestEGY2–1ANGAngola crest
Full time
Egypt crestEGY0–0ANGAngola crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.50

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickAFCON Qualifiers
Fri 25 Sep · 21:00 SAST
Egypt crestEgypt
Projected2–1xG 1.80 · 1.70
Angola crestAngola

The model leans Egypt (70%), projecting 2-1.

EGYDrawANG
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultEgypt win70%
Both teams to scoreYes68%
Total goalsOver 2.567%
Double chanceEgypt or draw87%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Egypt (70%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.8–1.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 68%, over 2.5 goals 67%. Over 2.5 goals ~67% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~67% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~68% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Egypt crest
Egypt
vs
Angola
Angola crest
1League position2
4Points4
5Goals for3
0Goals against1
5Goal difference2

Current AFCON Q table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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