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South Sudan vs Egypt — AFCON Qualifiers

South Sudan crestSouth Sudan
Full time0–5
Egypt crestEgypt

How the call landed

AFCON Qualifiers·29 Sep
Result hit
Model called
South Sudan crestSS0–2EGYEgypt crest
Full time
South Sudan crestSS0–5EGYEgypt crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-2, finished 0-5).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Under 2.5, was Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-5 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.25

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickAFCON Qualifiers
Tue 29 Sep · 15:00 SAST
South Sudan crestSouth Sudan
Projected0–2xG 0.20 · 2.30
Egypt crestEgypt

No strong lean — near even (24% / 26% / 50%), projecting 0-2.

SSDrawEGY
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean50%
Both teams to scoreNo86%
Total goalsUnder 2.554%
Double chanceNo strong lean76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (24% / 26% / 50%), projecting 0-2.

Projected 0-2 from 0.2–2.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 14%, over 2.5 goals 46%. Model projects 0.17–2.33 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → EGY

    Model projects 0.17–2.33 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

South Sudan crest
South Sudan
vs
Egypt
Egypt crest
4League position1
0Points4
1Goals for5
7Goals against0
-6Goal difference5

Current AFCON Q table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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