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ASO Chlef vs CR Belouizdad — Algerian Ligue 1

ASO Chlef crestASO Chlef
Full time3–3
CR Belouizdad crestCR Belouizdad

How the call landed

Algerian Ligue 1·5 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
ASO Chlef crestAC4–0CBCR Belouizdad crest
Full time
ASO Chlef crestAC3–3CBCR Belouizdad crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-3 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.87

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickAlgerian Ligue 1
Sat 5 Sep · 22:00 SAST
ASO Chlef crestASO Chlef
Projected4–0xG 4.30 · 0.60
CR Belouizdad crestCR Belouizdad

The model leans Aso Chlef (93%), projecting 4-0.

ACDrawCB
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAso Chlef win93%
Both teams to scoreNo58%
Total goalsOver 2.583%
Double chanceAso Chlef or draw98%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Aso Chlef (93%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 4.3–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 42%, over 2.5 goals 83%. Model projects 4.33–0.57 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AC

    Model projects 4.33–0.57 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~83% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

ASO Chlef crest
ASO Chlef
vs
CR Belouizdad
CR Belouizdad crest
14League position2
4Points14
6Goals for11
11Goals against7
-5Goal difference4

Current ALG table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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