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CR Belouizdad vs ES Setif — Algerian Ligue 1

CR Belouizdad crestCR Belouizdad
Full time1–0
ES Setif crestES Setif

How the call landed

Algerian Ligue 1·11 Sep
Missed
Model called
CR Belouizdad crestCB1–2ESES Setif crest
Full time
CR Belouizdad crestCB1–0ESES Setif crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-0 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.52

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickAlgerian Ligue 1
Fri 11 Sep · 22:00 SAST
CR Belouizdad crestCR Belouizdad
Projected1–2xG 1.00 · 2.80
ES Setif crestES Setif

The model leans Es Setif (72%), projecting 1-2.

CBDrawES
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultEs Setif win72%
Both teams to scoreYes59%
Total goalsOver 2.572%
Double chanceDraw or Es Setif89%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Es Setif (72%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.0–2.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 59%, over 2.5 goals 72%. Model projects 1.00–2.76 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → ES

    Model projects 1.00–2.76 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~72% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

CR Belouizdad crest
CR Belouizdad
vs
ES Setif
ES Setif crest
2League position12
14Points5
11Goals for7
7Goals against6
4Goal difference1

Current ALG table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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