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River Plate vs Huracan — Liga Profesional Argentina

River Plate crestRiver Plate
Full time1–2
Huracan crestHuracan

How the call landed

Liga Profesional Argentina·20 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Away win — HUR
Projected score 1–1
Full time
River Plate crestRP1–2HURHuracan crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-1, finished 1-2).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Under 2.5, was Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-2 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.41

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickLiga Profesional Argentina
Sun 20 Sep · 00:00 SAST
River Plate crestRiver Plate
Projected1–1xG 1.20 · 1.30
Huracan crestHuracan

No strong lean — near even (31% / 34% / 35%), projecting 1-1.

RPDrawHUR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean35%
Both teams to scoreYes53%
Total goalsUnder 2.552%
Double chanceNo strong lean69%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (31% / 34% / 35%), projecting 1-1.

Projected 1-1 from 1.2–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 53%, over 2.5 goals 48%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

River Plate crest
River Plate
vs
Huracan
Huracan crest
2League position7
29Points22
22Goals for17
12Goals against13
10Goal difference4

Current ARG table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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