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Anderlecht vs Kortrijk — Belgian Pro League

Full time1–0

How the call landed

Belgian Pro League·3 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Anderlecht crestAND3–0KORKortrijk crest
Full time
Anderlecht crestAND1–0KORKortrijk crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 3-0, finished 1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.03

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBelgian Pro League
Thu 3 Sep · 20:30 SAST
Anderlecht crestAnderlecht
Projected3–0xG 3.10 · 0.80
Kortrijk crestKortrijk

The model leans Anderlecht (82%), projecting 3-0.

ANDDrawKOR
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAnderlecht win82%
Both teams to scoreYes50%
Total goalsOver 2.573%
Double chanceAnderlecht or draw94%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Anderlecht (82%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.1–0.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 73%. Model projects 3.08–0.75 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AND

    Model projects 3.08–0.75 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~73% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Anderlecht crest
Anderlecht
vs
Kortrijk
Kortrijk crest
5League position17
16Points3
9Goals for2
10Goals against18
-1Goal difference-16

Current Pro League table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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