Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

St. Truiden vs Union St. Gilloise — Belgian Pro League

St. Truiden crestSt. Truiden
Full time0–3
Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. Gilloise

How the call landed

Belgian Pro League·2 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
St. Truiden crestST1–0USGUnion St. Gilloise crest
Full time
St. Truiden crestST0–3USGUnion St. Gilloise crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-3 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.29

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBelgian Pro League
Wed 2 Sep · 20:30 SAST
St. Truiden crestSt. Truiden
Projected1–0xG 1.80 · 1.00
Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. Gilloise

The model leans St Truiden (54%), projecting 1-0.

STDrawUSG
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSt Truiden win54%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceSt Truiden or draw81%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans St Truiden (54%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.8–1.0 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Model projects 1.75–0.95 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → ST

    Model projects 1.75–0.95 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

St. Truiden crest
St. Truiden
vs
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise crest
13League position3
8Points23
17Goals for27
19Goals against6
-2Goal difference21

Current Pro League table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More Pro League fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →