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Lommel United vs Club Brugge KV — Belgian Pro League

Lommel United crestLommel United
Full time0–1
Club Brugge KV crestClub Brugge KV

How the call landed

Belgian Pro League·4 Sep
Missed
Model called
Lommel United crestLU2–1CBKClub Brugge KV crest
Full time
Lommel United crestLU0–1CBKClub Brugge KV crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.18

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBelgian Pro League
Fri 4 Sep · 20:45 SAST
Lommel United crestLommel United
Projected2–1xG 1.80 · 1.30
Club Brugge KV crestClub Brugge KV

No strong lean — near even (43% / 31% / 26%), projecting 2-1.

LUDrawCBK
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean43%
Both teams to scoreYes61%
Total goalsOver 2.560%
Double chanceNo strong lean74%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (43% / 31% / 26%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.8–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 61%, over 2.5 goals 60%. Model projects 1.77–1.33 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → LU

    Model projects 1.77–1.33 expected goals

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~61% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Lommel United crest
Lommel United
vs
Club Brugge KV
Club Brugge KV crest
8League position2
12Points24
11Goals for22
11Goals against6
0Goal difference16

Current Pro League table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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