Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Charleroi vs Union St. Gilloise — Belgian Pro League

Charleroi crestCharleroi
Full time2–3
Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. Gilloise

How the call landed

Belgian Pro League·5 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Charleroi crestCHA0–2USGUnion St. Gilloise crest
Full time
Charleroi crestCHA2–3USGUnion St. Gilloise crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 0-2, finished 2-3).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 2-3 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.03

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBelgian Pro League
Sat 5 Sep · 16:00 SAST
Charleroi crestCharleroi
Projected0–2xG 0.60 · 2.70
Union St. Gilloise crestUnion St. Gilloise

The model leans Union St Gilloise (82%), projecting 0-2.

CHADrawUSG
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultUnion St Gilloise win82%
Both teams to scoreNo59%
Total goalsOver 2.563%
Double chanceDraw or Union St Gilloise94%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Union St Gilloise (82%), projecting 0-2.

Projected 0-2 from 0.6–2.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 41%, over 2.5 goals 63%. Model projects 0.59–2.67 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → USG

    Model projects 0.59–2.67 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~63% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Charleroi crest
Charleroi
vs
Union St. Gilloise
Union St. Gilloise crest
4League position3
21Points23
16Goals for27
10Goals against6
6Goal difference21

Current Pro League table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More Pro League fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →