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KVC Westerlo vs Standard Liege — Belgian Pro League

KVC Westerlo crestKVC Westerlo
Full time4–2
Standard Liege crestStandard Liege

How the call landed

Belgian Pro League·12 Sep
Result hit
Model called
KVC Westerlo crestKW3–0SLStandard Liege crest
Full time
KVC Westerlo crestKW4–2SLStandard Liege crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 3-0, finished 4-2).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 4-2 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.01

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBelgian Pro League
Sat 12 Sep · 18:15 SAST
KVC Westerlo crestKVC Westerlo
Projected3–0xG 4.00 · 0.60
Standard Liege crestStandard Liege

The model leans Kvc Westerlo (91%), projecting 3-0.

KWDrawSL
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultKvc Westerlo win91%
Both teams to scoreNo56%
Total goalsOver 2.581%
Double chanceKvc Westerlo or draw97%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Kvc Westerlo (91%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 4.0–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 44%, over 2.5 goals 81%. Model projects 3.97–0.61 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → KW

    Model projects 3.97–0.61 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~81% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

KVC Westerlo crest
KVC Westerlo
vs
Standard Liege
Standard Liege crest
7League position9
14Points11
24Goals for14
21Goals against15
3Goal difference-1

Current Pro League table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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