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RAAL La Louvière vs Kortrijk — Belgian Pro League

RAAL La Louvière crestRAAL La Louvière
Full time3–0
Kortrijk crestKortrijk

How the call landed

Belgian Pro League·13 Sep
Result hit
Model called
RAAL La Louvière crestRLL2–1KORKortrijk crest
Full time
RAAL La Louvière crestRLL3–0KORKortrijk crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.25

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBelgian Pro League
Sun 13 Sep · 19:15 SAST
RAAL La Louvière crestRAAL La Louvière
Projected2–1xG 1.90 · 1.20
Kortrijk crestKortrijk

No strong lean — near even (50% / 28% / 22%), projecting 2-1.

RLLDrawKOR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean50%
Both teams to scoreYes59%
Total goalsOver 2.559%
Double chanceNo strong lean78%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (50% / 28% / 22%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.9–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 59%, over 2.5 goals 59%. Model projects 1.89–1.17 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → RLL

    Model projects 1.89–1.17 expected goals

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

RAAL La Louvière crest
RAAL La Louvière
vs
Kortrijk
Kortrijk crest
14League position17
7Points3
11Goals for2
18Goals against18
-7Goal difference-16

Current Pro League table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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