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Kortrijk vs SK Beveren — Belgian Pro League

Kortrijk crestKortrijk
Full time1–0
SK Beveren crestSK Beveren

How the call landed

Belgian Pro League·20 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Kortrijk crestKOR0–3SBSK Beveren crest
Full time
Kortrijk crestKOR1–0SBSK Beveren crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-0 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.63

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBelgian Pro League
Sun 20 Sep · 19:15 SAST
Kortrijk crestKortrijk
Projected0–3xG 0.70 · 2.50
SK Beveren crestSK Beveren

The model leans Sk Beveren (79%), projecting 0-3.

KORDrawSB
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSk Beveren win79%
Both teams to scoreNo56%
Total goalsOver 2.562%
Double chanceDraw or Sk Beveren93%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Sk Beveren (79%), projecting 0-3.

Projected 0-3 from 0.7–2.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 44%, over 2.5 goals 62%. Model projects 0.66–2.54 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SB

    Model projects 0.66–2.54 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~62% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Kortrijk crest
Kortrijk
vs
SK Beveren
SK Beveren crest
17League position12
3Points10
2Goals for12
18Goals against18
-16Goal difference-6

Current Pro League table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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