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America Mineiro vs Fortaleza EC — Brasileirão Série B

America Mineiro crestAmerica Mineiro
Full time0–1
Fortaleza EC crestFortaleza EC

How the call landed

Brasileirão Série B·8 Oct
Exact score
Model called
America Mineiro crestAM0–1FEFortaleza EC crest
Full time
America Mineiro crestAM0–1FEFortaleza EC crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (0-1).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 0-1 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.35

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBrasileirão Série B
Thu 8 Oct · 01:30 SAST
America Mineiro crestAmerica Mineiro
Projected0–1xG 0.50 · 1.30
Fortaleza EC crestFortaleza EC

No strong lean — near even (31% / 28% / 41%), projecting 0-1.

AMDrawFE
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean41%
Both teams to scoreNo72%
Total goalsUnder 2.574%
Double chanceNo strong lean69%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (31% / 28% / 41%), projecting 0-1.

Projected 0-1 from 0.5–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 28%, over 2.5 goals 26%. Model projects 0.47–1.31 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → FE

    Model projects 0.47–1.31 expected goals

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~74% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

America Mineiro crest
America Mineiro
vs
Fortaleza EC
Fortaleza EC crest
19League position4
23Points61
23Goals for43
54Goals against31
-31Goal difference12

Current SÉB table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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