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Goias vs Athletic Club — Brasileirão Série B

Goias crestGoias
Full time2–1
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

How the call landed

Brasileirão Série B·7 Oct
Exact score
Model called
Goias crestGOI2–1ACAthletic Club crest
Full time
Goias crestGOI2–1ACAthletic Club crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (2-1).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.33

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBrasileirão Série B
Wed 7 Oct · 01:30 SAST
Goias crestGoias
Projected2–1xG 1.60 · 1.60
Athletic Club crestAthletic Club

No strong lean — near even (43% / 30% / 27%), projecting 2-1.

GOIDrawAC
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean43%
Both teams to scoreYes62%
Total goalsOver 2.560%
Double chanceNo strong lean73%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (43% / 30% / 27%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.6–1.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 62%, over 2.5 goals 60%. BTTS ~62% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~62% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

Goias crest
Goias
vs
Athletic Club
Athletic Club crest
9League position14
52Points44
36Goals for40
40Goals against40
-4Goal difference0

Current SÉB table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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