Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

FC Augsburg vs Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga

FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg
Full time2–2
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

How the call landed

Bundesliga·12 Sep
Missed
Model called
FC Augsburg crestFA1–0BLBayer Leverkusen crest
Full time
FC Augsburg crestFA2–2BLBayer Leverkusen crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Under 2.5, was Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-2 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.14

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBundesliga
Sat 12 Sep · 15:30 SAST
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg
Projected1–0xG 1.40 · 0.40
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

No strong lean — near even (38% / 28% / 34%), projecting 1-0.

FADrawBL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean38%
Both teams to scoreNo78%
Total goalsUnder 2.576%
Double chanceNo strong lean66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (38% / 28% / 34%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.4–0.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 22%, over 2.5 goals 24%. Model projects 1.35–0.35 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → FA

    Model projects 1.35–0.35 expected goals

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~76% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

FC Augsburg crest
FC Augsburg
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen crest
9League position4
9Points13
17Goals for16
13Goals against12
4Goal difference4

Current BUN table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More BUN fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →