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FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga

FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05
Full time0–0
SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

How the call landed

Bundesliga·29 Aug
1 market hit
Model called
FSV Mainz 05 crestFM01–0SP0SC Paderborn 07 crest
Full time
FSV Mainz 05 crestFM00–0SP0SC Paderborn 07 crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.32

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBundesliga
Sat 29 Aug · 15:30 SAST
FSV Mainz 05 crestFSV Mainz 05
Projected1–0xG 1.20 · 1.40
SC Paderborn 07 crestSC Paderborn 07

The model leans Fsv Mainz 05 (56%), projecting 1-0.

FM0DrawSP0
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultFsv Mainz 05 win56%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsUnder 2.553%
Double chanceFsv Mainz 05 or draw73%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Fsv Mainz 05 (56%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 1.2–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 47%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

FSV Mainz 05 crest
FSV Mainz 05
vs
SC Paderborn 07
SC Paderborn 07 crest
7League position13
10Points8
16Goals for6
13Goals against9
3Goal difference-3

Current BUN table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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