Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

SC Freiburg vs Werder Bremen — Bundesliga

SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
Full time4–1
Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen

How the call landed

Bundesliga·30 Aug
Result hit
Model called
SC Freiburg crestSF2–1WBWerder Bremen crest
Full time
SC Freiburg crestSF4–1WBWerder Bremen crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 4-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 4-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.31

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBundesliga
Sun 30 Aug · 15:30 SAST
SC Freiburg crestSC Freiburg
Projected2–1xG 1.70 · 1.50
Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen

No strong lean — near even (45% / 21% / 34%), projecting 2-1.

SFDrawWB
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean45%
Both teams to scoreYes63%
Total goalsOver 2.562%
Double chanceNo strong lean66%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (45% / 21% / 34%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.7–1.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 63%, over 2.5 goals 62%. Over 2.5 goals ~62% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~62% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~63% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

SC Freiburg crest
SC Freiburg
vs
Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen crest
3League position6
13Points12
16Goals for15
9Goals against14
7Goal difference1

Current BUN table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More BUN fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →