Skip to content
Tips8ngBeautifAI Game

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga

Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
Full time2–0
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV

How the call landed

Bundesliga·29 Aug
Result hit
Model called
Borussia Dortmund crestBD2–1HSHamburger SV crest
Full time
Borussia Dortmund crestBD2–0HSHamburger SV crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 2-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-0 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.16

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBundesliga
Sat 29 Aug · 18:30 SAST
Borussia Dortmund crestBorussia Dortmund
Projected2–1xG 1.90 · 1.30
Hamburger SV crestHamburger SV

The model leans Borussia Dortmund (60%), projecting 2-1.

BDDrawHS
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultBorussia Dortmund win60%
Both teams to scoreYes62%
Total goalsOver 2.562%
Double chanceBorussia Dortmund or draw81%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Borussia Dortmund (60%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.9–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 62%, over 2.5 goals 62%. Model projects 1.90–1.30 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → BD

    Model projects 1.90–1.30 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~62% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~62% likely

Form & table

Borussia Dortmund crest
Borussia Dortmund
vs
Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV crest
2League position11
17Points9
12Goals for6
4Goals against16
8Goal difference-10

Current BUN table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

Want the full match intelligence?

Pre-match analysis and every market live in your dashboard.

Open in dashboard
More BUN fixtures →The predictions board →Today’s Tips5 →