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SV Elversberg vs Bayer Leverkusen — Bundesliga

SV Elversberg crestSV Elversberg
Full time3–2
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

How the call landed

Bundesliga·29 Aug
Result hit
Model called
SV Elversberg crestSE2–1BLBayer Leverkusen crest
Full time
SV Elversberg crestSE3–2BLBayer Leverkusen crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-2).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-2 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.19

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBundesliga
Sat 29 Aug · 15:30 SAST
SV Elversberg crestSV Elversberg
Projected2–1xG 1.50 · 1.60
Bayer Leverkusen crestBayer Leverkusen

The model leans Sv Elversberg (56%), projecting 2-1.

SEDrawBL
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSv Elversberg win56%
Both teams to scoreYes62%
Total goalsOver 2.560%
Double chanceSv Elversberg or draw69%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Sv Elversberg (56%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.5–1.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 62%, over 2.5 goals 60%. BTTS ~62% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~62% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

SV Elversberg crest
SV Elversberg
vs
Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen crest
8League position4
10Points13
12Goals for16
15Goals against12
-3Goal difference4

Current BUN table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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