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FC Augsburg vs FC Schalke 04 — Bundesliga

FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg
Full time3–0
FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

How the call landed

Bundesliga·30 Aug
Result hit
Model called
FC Augsburg crestFA2–1FS0FC Schalke 04 crest
Full time
FC Augsburg crestFA3–0FS0FC Schalke 04 crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.29

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBundesliga
Sun 30 Aug · 17:30 SAST
FC Augsburg crestFC Augsburg
Projected2–1xG 1.60 · 1.50
FC Schalke 04 crestFC Schalke 04

No strong lean — near even (45% / 26% / 29%), projecting 2-1.

FADrawFS0
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean45%
Both teams to scoreYes62%
Total goalsOver 2.560%
Double chanceNo strong lean71%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (45% / 26% / 29%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.6–1.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 62%, over 2.5 goals 60%. BTTS ~62% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~62% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Form & table

FC Augsburg crest
FC Augsburg
vs
FC Schalke 04
FC Schalke 04 crest
9League position16
9Points6
17Goals for4
13Goals against7
4Goal difference-3

Current BUN table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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