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Werder Bremen vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga

Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen
Full time3–1
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

How the call landed

Bundesliga·5 Sep
2 markets hit
Model called
Werder Bremen crestWB1–2RLRB Leipzig crest
Full time
Werder Bremen crestWB3–1RLRB Leipzig crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 3-1 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.46

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickBundesliga
Sat 5 Sep · 15:30 SAST
Werder Bremen crestWerder Bremen
Projected1–2xG 1.60 · 1.80
RB Leipzig crestRB Leipzig

The model leans RB Leipzig (68%), projecting 1-2.

WBDrawRL
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultRB Leipzig win68%
Both teams to scoreYes67%
Total goalsOver 2.566%
Double chanceDraw or RB Leipzig87%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans RB Leipzig (68%), projecting 1-2.

Projected 1-2 from 1.6–1.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 67%, over 2.5 goals 66%. Over 2.5 goals ~66% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~66% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~67% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Form & table

Werder Bremen crest
Werder Bremen
vs
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig crest
6League position5
12Points12
15Goals for20
14Goals against11
1Goal difference9

Current BUN table; form is the last five league results, most recent last.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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