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Al Hilal Omdurman vs Horoya — CAF Champions League

Al Hilal Omdurman crestAl Hilal Omdurman
Sat 28 Nov18:00SAST
Horoya crestHoroya

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 28 Nov · 18:00 SAST
Al Hilal Omdurman crestAl Hilal Omdurman
Projected2–1xG 1.90 · 1.70
Horoya crestHoroya

The model leans Al Hilal Omdurman (55%), projecting 2-1.

AHODrawHOR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAl Hilal Omdurman win55%
Both teams to scoreNo68%
Total goalsUnder 2.568%
Double chanceAl Hilal Omdurman or draw75%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Al Hilal Omdurman (55%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.9–1.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 32%, over 2.5 goals 32%. Under 2.5 goals ~68% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~68% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Al Hilal Omdurman win55% model probability

  • Double chance

    Al Hilal Omdurman or draw75% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Al Hilal Omdurman69% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Al Hilal Omdurman winH 54% · D 20% · A 25%Projected 2–1xG 1.91–1.74
    model random-forest@v7

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