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ES Tunis vs Wiliete — CAF Champions League

ES Tunis crestES Tunis
Sat 28 Nov18:00SAST
Wiliete crestWiliete

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 28 Nov · 18:00 SAST
ES Tunis crestES Tunis
Projected2–0xG 2.40 · 0.20
Wiliete crestWiliete

The model leans Es Tunis (74%), projecting 2-0.

ETDrawWIL
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultEs Tunis win74%
Both teams to scoreNo68%
Total goalsUnder 2.568%
Double chanceEs Tunis or draw91%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Es Tunis (74%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.4–0.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 32%, over 2.5 goals 32%. Model projects 2.35–0.15 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → ET

    Model projects 2.35–0.15 expected goals

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~68% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

All markets

  • Match result

    Es Tunis win74% model probability

  • Double chance

    Es Tunis or draw91% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Es Tunis89% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    ES Tunis winH 74% · D 17% · A 9%Projected 2–0xG 2.35–0.15
    model random-forest@v7

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