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Pyramids FC vs Maghreb Fès — CAF Champions League

Pyramids FC crestPyramids FC
Sat 28 Nov18:00SAST
Maghreb Fès crestMaghreb Fès

The model’s prediction

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 28 Nov · 18:00 SAST
Pyramids FC crestPyramids FC
Projected3–0xG 3.30 · 0.20
Maghreb Fès crestMaghreb Fès

The model leans Pyramids FC (59%), projecting 3-0.

PFDrawMFS
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultPyramids FC win59%
Both teams to scoreNo68%
Total goalsUnder 2.568%
Double chancePyramids FC or draw83%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Pyramids FC (59%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.3–0.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 32%, over 2.5 goals 32%. Model projects 3.29–0.15 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → PF

    Model projects 3.29–0.15 expected goals

  • Low-tempo profile

    → Neutral

    Under 2.5 goals ~68% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

All markets

  • Match result

    Pyramids FC win59% model probability

  • Double chance

    Pyramids FC or draw83% model probability

  • Draw no bet

    Pyramids FC78% model probability

Double chance and draw no bet are worked out from the same win/draw/win probabilities as the result call.

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

  1. OriginalCurrent
    Pyramids FC winH 59% · D 24% · A 17%Projected 3–0xG 3.29–0.15
    model random-forest@v7

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