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Aigle Noir vs Al Hilal Omdurman — CAF Champions League

Aigle Noir crestAigle Noir
Full time0–2
Al Hilal Omdurman crestAl Hilal Omdurman

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Missed
Model called
Aigle Noir crestAN1–0AHOAl Hilal Omdurman crest
Full time
Aigle Noir crestAN0–2AHOAl Hilal Omdurman crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-2 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.42

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
Aigle Noir crestAigle Noir
Projected1–0xG 2.00 · 0.90
Al Hilal Omdurman crestAl Hilal Omdurman

The model leans Aigle Noir (65%), projecting 1-0.

ANDrawAHO
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAigle Noir win65%
Both teams to scoreYes51%
Total goalsOver 2.554%
Double chanceAigle Noir or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Aigle Noir (65%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 2.0–0.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 51%, over 2.5 goals 54%. Model projects 1.95–0.91 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AN

    Model projects 1.95–0.91 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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