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Aiglons vs Sidama Bunna — CAF Champions League

Aiglons crestAiglons
Full time0–0
Sidama Bunna crestSidama Bunna

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Missed
Model called
Aiglons crestAIG2–1SBSidama Bunna crest
Full time
Aiglons crestAIG0–0SBSidama Bunna crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.42

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
Aiglons crestAiglons
Projected2–1xG 1.90 · 1.20
Sidama Bunna crestSidama Bunna

The model leans Aiglons (65%), projecting 2-1.

AIGDrawSB
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAiglons win65%
Both teams to scoreYes60%
Total goalsOver 2.560%
Double chanceAiglons or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Aiglons (65%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.9–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 60%, over 2.5 goals 60%. Model projects 1.91–1.20 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AIG

    Model projects 1.91–1.20 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~60% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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