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Asswehly vs KVZ — CAF Champions League

Asswehly crestAsswehly
Full time1–0
KVZ crestKVZ

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Exact score
Model called
Asswehly crestASS1–0KVZKVZ crest
Full time
Asswehly crestASS1–0KVZKVZ crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — correct.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.12

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
Asswehly crestAsswehly
Projected1–0xG 0.90 · 1.70
KVZ crestKVZ

The model leans Asswehly (65%), projecting 1-0.

ASSDrawKVZ
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAsswehly win65%
Both teams to scoreNo52%
Total goalsUnder 2.552%
Double chanceAsswehly or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Asswehly (65%), projecting 1-0.

Projected 1-0 from 0.9–1.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 48%, over 2.5 goals 48%. Model projects 0.88–1.73 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → KVZ

    Model projects 0.88–1.73 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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