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Maghreb Fès vs Rahimo — CAF Champions League

Maghreb Fès crestMaghreb Fès
Full time4–1
Rahimo crestRahimo

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Maghreb Fès crestMFS4–0RAHRahimo crest
Full time
Maghreb Fès crestMFS4–1RAHRahimo crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 4-0, finished 4-1).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 4-1 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.12

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
Maghreb Fès crestMaghreb Fès
Projected4–0xG 5.00 · 0.40
Rahimo crestRahimo

The model leans Maghreb F S (65%), projecting 4-0.

MFSDrawRAH
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultMaghreb F S win65%
Both teams to scoreNo70%
Total goalsOver 2.584%
Double chanceMaghreb F S or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Maghreb F S (65%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 5.0–0.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 30%, over 2.5 goals 84%. Model projects 4.96–0.40 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → MFS

    Model projects 4.96–0.40 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~84% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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