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CFFA vs Lijabatho — CAF Champions League

CFFA crestCFFA
Full time2–0
Lijabatho crestLijabatho

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Result hit
Model called
CFFA crestCFF2–1LIJLijabatho crest
Full time
CFFA crestCFF2–0LIJLijabatho crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 2-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-0 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.12

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
CFFA crestCFFA
Projected2–1xG 1.70 · 1.20
Lijabatho crestLijabatho

The model leans Cffa (65%), projecting 2-1.

CFFDrawLIJ
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultCffa win65%
Both teams to scoreYes57%
Total goalsOver 2.555%
Double chanceCffa or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Cffa (65%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.7–1.2 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 57%, over 2.5 goals 55%. Model projects 1.68–1.21 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → CFF

    Model projects 1.68–1.21 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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