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San-Pédro vs Rivers United — CAF Champions League

San-Pédro crestSan-Pédro
Full time1–1
Rivers United crestRivers United

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Missed
Model called
San-Pédro crestSPD2–0RURivers United crest
Full time
San-Pédro crestSPD1–1RURivers United crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.42

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
San-Pédro crestSan-Pédro
Projected2–0xG 2.80 · 0.70
Rivers United crestRivers United

The model leans San P Dro (65%), projecting 2-0.

SPDDrawRU
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSan P Dro win65%
Both teams to scoreNo54%
Total goalsOver 2.567%
Double chanceSan P Dro or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans San P Dro (65%), projecting 2-0.

Projected 2-0 from 2.8–0.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 46%, over 2.5 goals 67%. Model projects 2.75–0.69 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SPD

    Model projects 2.75–0.69 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~67% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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