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JS Saoura vs Horoya — CAF Champions League

JS Saoura crestJS Saoura
Full time1–0
Horoya crestHoroya

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Result hit
Model called
JS Saoura crestJS4–0HORHoroya crest
Full time
JS Saoura crestJS1–0HORHoroya crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 4-0, finished 1-0).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.12

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
JS Saoura crestJS Saoura
Projected4–0xG 4.30 · 0.60
Horoya crestHoroya

The model leans Js Saoura (65%), projecting 4-0.

JSDrawHOR
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultJs Saoura win65%
Both teams to scoreNo55%
Total goalsOver 2.584%
Double chanceJs Saoura or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Js Saoura (65%), projecting 4-0.

Projected 4-0 from 4.3–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 45%, over 2.5 goals 84%. Model projects 4.25–0.64 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → JS

    Model projects 4.25–0.64 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~84% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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