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Star Sport Academy vs Medina United — CAF Champions League

Star Sport Academy crestStar Sport Academy
Full time0–0
Medina United crestMedina United

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·5 Sep
Missed
Model called
Star Sport Academy crestSSA2–1MUMedina United crest
Full time
Star Sport Academy crestSSA0–0MUMedina United crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-0 — missed.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.42

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 5 Sep · 17:00 SAST
Star Sport Academy crestStar Sport Academy
Projected2–1xG 0.80 · 3.10
Medina United crestMedina United

The model leans Star Sport Academy (65%), projecting 2-1.

SSADrawMU
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultStar Sport Academy win65%
Both teams to scoreYes53%
Total goalsOver 2.574%
Double chanceStar Sport Academy or draw76%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Star Sport Academy (65%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 0.8–3.1 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 53%, over 2.5 goals 74%. Model projects 0.83–3.05 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → MU

    Model projects 0.83–3.05 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~74% likely

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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