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Al Hilal Omdurman vs Aigle Noir — CAF Champions League

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·12 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Al Hilal Omdurman crestAHO2–1ANAigle Noir crest
Full time
Al Hilal Omdurman crestAHO1–0ANAigle Noir crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.06

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 SAST
Al Hilal Omdurman crestAl Hilal Omdurman
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
Aigle Noir crestAigle Noir

The model leans Al Hilal Omdurman (76%), projecting 2-1.

AHODrawAN
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAl Hilal Omdurman win76%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceAl Hilal Omdurman or draw92%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Al Hilal Omdurman (76%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Strong, decisive model signal

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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