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ASEC Mimosas vs ASC Kara — CAF Champions League

ASEC Mimosas crestASEC Mimosas
Full time2–1
ASC Kara crestASC Kara

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·13 Sep
Exact score
Model called
ASEC Mimosas crestAM2–1AKASC Kara crest
Full time
ASEC Mimosas crestAM2–1AKASC Kara crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (2-1).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.24

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sun 13 Sep · 18:00 SAST
ASEC Mimosas crestASEC Mimosas
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
ASC Kara crestASC Kara

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

AMDrawAK
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean50%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean80%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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