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Petro de Luanda vs Songo — CAF Champions League

Full time2–2

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·12 Sep
2 markets hit
Model called
Petro de Luanda crestPDL2–1SONSongo crest
Full time
Petro de Luanda crestPDL2–2SONSongo crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-2 — missed.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.52

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 12 Sep · 17:00 SAST
Petro de Luanda crestPetro de Luanda
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
Songo crestSongo

The model leans Petro De Luanda (72%), projecting 2-1.

PDLDrawSON
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultPetro De Luanda win72%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chancePetro De Luanda or draw90%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Petro De Luanda (72%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Strong, decisive model signal

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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