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Orlando Pirates vs La Cure Waves — CAF Champions League

Orlando Pirates crestOrlando Pirates
Full time3–1
La Cure Waves crestLa Cure Waves

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·12 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Orlando Pirates crestOP2–1LCWLa Cure Waves crest
Full time
Orlando Pirates crestOP3–1LCWLa Cure Waves crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.23

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 SAST
Orlando Pirates crestOrlando Pirates
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
La Cure Waves crestLa Cure Waves

No strong lean — near even (52% / 29% / 19%), projecting 2-1.

OPDrawLCW
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean52%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean81%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (52% / 29% / 19%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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