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Medina United vs Star Sport Academy — CAF Champions League

Medina United crestMedina United
Full time1–1
Star Sport Academy crestStar Sport Academy

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·12 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Medina United crestMU2–1SSAStar Sport Academy crest
Full time
Medina United crestMU1–1SSAStar Sport Academy crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.25

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 12 Sep · 18:00 SAST
Medina United crestMedina United
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
Star Sport Academy crestStar Sport Academy

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

MUDrawSSA
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean50%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean80%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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