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Lijabatho vs CFFA — CAF Champions League

Lijabatho crestLijabatho
Full time1–1
CFFA crestCFFA

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·12 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Lijabatho crestLIJ2–1CFFCFFA crest
Full time
Lijabatho crestLIJ1–1CFFCFFA crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (draw).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.13

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 12 Sep · 16:00 SAST
Lijabatho crestLijabatho
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
CFFA crestCFFA

No strong lean — near even (35% / 33% / 32%), projecting 2-1.

LIJDrawCFF
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean35%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean68%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (35% / 33% / 32%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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