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Young Africans vs Gaborone United — CAF Champions League

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·12 Sep
Exact score
Model called
Young Africans crestYA2–1GUGaborone United crest
Full time
Young Africans crestYA2–1GUGaborone United crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Nailed the exact scoreline (2-1).
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — correct.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.25

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 SAST
Young Africans crestYoung Africans
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
Gaborone United crestGaborone United

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

YADrawGU
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean50%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean80%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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