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Simba vs Be Forward Wanderers — CAF Champions League

Simba crestSimba
Full time6–1
Be Forward Wanderers crestBe Forward Wanderers

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·13 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Simba crestSIM2–1BFWBe Forward Wanderers crest
Full time
Simba crestSIM6–1BFWBe Forward Wanderers crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 6-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 6-1 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.08

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sun 13 Sep · 15:00 SAST
Simba crestSimba
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
Be Forward Wanderers crestBe Forward Wanderers

The model leans Simba (71%), projecting 2-1.

SIMDrawBFW
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSimba win71%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceSimba or draw90%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Simba (71%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Strong, decisive model signal

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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