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Sidama Bunna vs Aiglons — CAF Champions League

Sidama Bunna crestSidama Bunna
Full time3–0
Aiglons crestAiglons

How the call landed

CAF Champions League·13 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Sidama Bunna crestSB2–1AIGAiglons crest
Full time
Sidama Bunna crestSB3–0AIGAiglons crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.25

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Champions League
Sun 13 Sep · 18:00 SAST
Sidama Bunna crestSidama Bunna
Projected2–1xG 1.40 · 1.40
Aiglons crestAiglons

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

SBDrawAIG
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean50%
Both teams to scoreYes55%
Total goalsOver 2.551%
Double chanceNo strong lean80%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (50% / 30% / 20%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.4–1.4 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 55%, over 2.5 goals 51%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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