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Singida Black Stars vs Al-Ghazal — CAF Confederation Cup

Singida Black Stars crestSingida Black Stars
Full time3–0
Al-Ghazal crestAl-Ghazal

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·13 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Singida Black Stars crestSBS2–1AGAl-Ghazal crest
Full time
Singida Black Stars crestSBS3–0AGAl-Ghazal crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-0 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.13

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sun 13 Sep · 15:00 SAST
Singida Black Stars crestSingida Black Stars
Projected2–1xG 2.10 · 0.90
Al-Ghazal crestAl-Ghazal

The model leans Singida Black Stars (64%), projecting 2-1.

SBSDrawAG
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultSingida Black Stars win64%
Both teams to scoreYes50%
Total goalsOver 2.556%
Double chanceSingida Black Stars or draw86%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Singida Black Stars (64%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 2.1–0.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 50%, over 2.5 goals 56%. Model projects 2.08–0.85 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → SBS

    Model projects 2.08–0.85 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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