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Réal Bamako vs Vitesse — CAF Confederation Cup

Réal Bamako crestRéal Bamako
Full time0–0
Vitesse crestVitesse

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·11 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Home win — RAB
Projected score 1–1
Full time
Réal Bamako crestRAB0–0VITVitesse crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 1-1, finished 0-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called draw, finished 0-0 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.43

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Fri 11 Sep · 18:00 SAST
Réal Bamako crestRéal Bamako
Projected1–1xG 1.30 · 1.30
Vitesse crestVitesse

Too close to call (34% draw), projecting 1-1.

RABDrawVIT
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultDraw34%
Both teams to scoreYes52%
Total goalsUnder 2.552%
Double chanceR Al Bamako or draw68%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

Too close to call (34% draw), projecting 1-1.

Projected 1-1 from 1.3–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 52%, over 2.5 goals 48%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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