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Welwalo Adigrat Uni vs Al Hilal Port Sudan — CAF Confederation Cup

Welwalo Adigrat Uni crestWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Full time2–1
Al Hilal Port Sudan crestAl Hilal Port Sudan

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·12 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Welwalo Adigrat Uni crestWAU3–0AHPAl Hilal Port Sudan crest
Full time
Welwalo Adigrat Uni crestWAU2–1AHPAl Hilal Port Sudan crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 3-0, finished 2-1).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called No, was Yes).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-1 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.06

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sat 12 Sep · 15:00 SAST
Welwalo Adigrat Uni crestWelwalo Adigrat Uni
Projected3–0xG 2.60 · 0.80
Al Hilal Port Sudan crestAl Hilal Port Sudan

The model leans Welwalo Adigrat Uni (75%), projecting 3-0.

WAUDrawAHP
Model confidenceModerate
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultWelwalo Adigrat Uni win75%
Both teams to scoreNo51%
Total goalsOver 2.565%
Double chanceWelwalo Adigrat Uni or draw91%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Welwalo Adigrat Uni (75%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 2.6–0.8 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 49%, over 2.5 goals 65%. Model projects 2.57–0.77 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → WAU

    Model projects 2.57–0.77 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~65% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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