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UDIB vs El Kanemi Warriors — CAF Confederation Cup

UDIB crestUDIB
Full time1–0
El Kanemi Warriors crestEl Kanemi Warriors

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·13 Sep
1 market hit
Model called
Away win — EKW
Projected score 1–1
Full time
UDIB crestUDI1–0EKWEl Kanemi Warriors crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Under 2.5

Got right

  • –Total goals call landed (Under 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (home_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).

Takeaway. Called away win, finished 1-0 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.16

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sun 13 Sep · 18:00 SAST
UDIB crestUDIB
Projected1–1xG 1.20 · 1.50
El Kanemi Warriors crestEl Kanemi Warriors

No strong lean — near even (28% / 32% / 40%), projecting 1-1.

UDIDrawEKW
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean40%
Both teams to scoreYes54%
Total goalsUnder 2.550%
Double chanceNo strong lean72%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (28% / 32% / 40%), projecting 1-1.

Projected 1-1 from 1.2–1.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 54%, over 2.5 goals 50%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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