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Korhogo vs AS PSI — CAF Confederation Cup

Korhogo crestKorhogo
Full time2–0
AS PSI crestAS PSI

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·13 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Korhogo crestKOR3–0APAS PSI crest
Full time
Korhogo crestKOR2–0APAS PSI crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 3-0, finished 2-0).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-0 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.02

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sun 13 Sep · 18:00 SAST
Korhogo crestKorhogo
Projected3–0xG 3.30 · 0.60
AS PSI crestAS PSI

The model leans Korhogo (87%), projecting 3-0.

KORDrawAP
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultKorhogo win87%
Both teams to scoreNo56%
Total goalsOver 2.575%
Double chanceKorhogo or draw96%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Korhogo (87%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 3.3–0.6 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 44%, over 2.5 goals 75%. Model projects 3.34–0.61 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → KOR

    Model projects 3.34–0.61 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~75% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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