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ASC Kara vs AS ZAM — CAF Confederation Cup

ASC Kara crestASC Kara
Full time1–0
AS ZAM crestAS ZAM

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·13 Sep
Result hit
Model called
ASC Kara crestAK2–1AZAS ZAM crest
Full time
ASC Kara crestAK1–0AZAS ZAM crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 1-0).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 1-0 — partial.

Confidence ModerateCalibration error 0.13

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sun 13 Sep · 17:30 SAST
ASC Kara crestASC Kara
Projected2–1xG 2.20 · 0.90
AS ZAM crestAS ZAM

The model leans Asc Kara (64%), projecting 2-1.

AKDrawAZ
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultAsc Kara win64%
Both teams to scoreYes52%
Total goalsOver 2.559%
Double chanceAsc Kara or draw86%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans Asc Kara (64%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 2.2–0.9 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 52%, over 2.5 goals 59%. Model projects 2.17–0.89 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → AK

    Model projects 2.17–0.89 expected goals

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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