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Kabuscorp vs UNAM — CAF Confederation Cup

Kabuscorp crestKabuscorp
Full time3–1
UNAM crestUNAM

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·13 Sep
Result hit
Model called
Kabuscorp crestKAB2–1UNAUNAM crest
Full time
Kabuscorp crestKAB3–1UNAUNAM crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (Yes).
  • –Total goals call landed (Over 2.5).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 2-1, finished 3-1).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 3-1 — partial.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.40

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sun 13 Sep · 17:00 SAST
Kabuscorp crestKabuscorp
Projected2–1xG 1.70 · 1.50
UNAM crestUNAM

No strong lean — near even (37% / 32% / 31%), projecting 2-1.

KABDrawUNA
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean37%
Both teams to scoreYes63%
Total goalsOver 2.561%
Double chanceNo strong lean69%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (37% / 32% / 31%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.7–1.5 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 63%, over 2.5 goals 61%. Over 2.5 goals ~61% likely

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~61% likely

  • Both teams to score

    → Neutral

    BTTS ~63% likely

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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