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Hafia vs AC Douane — CAF Confederation Cup

Hafia crestHafia
Full time0–1
AC Douane crestAC Douane

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·19 Sep
Missed
Model called
Hafia crestHAF2–1ADAC Douane crest
Full time
Hafia crestHAF0–1ADAC Douane crest
Markets
Both teams to score: YesTotal goals: Over 2.5

Surprised the model

  • –Result went the other way (away_win).
  • –Both teams to score call missed (called Yes, was No).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 0-1 — missed.

Confidence LeanCalibration error 0.14

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Sat 19 Sep · 18:00 SAST
Hafia crestHafia
Projected2–1xG 1.50 · 1.30
AC Douane crestAC Douane

No strong lean — near even (37% / 33% / 30%), projecting 2-1.

HAFDrawAD
Model confidenceLean
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
ResultNo strong lean37%
Both teams to scoreYes58%
Total goalsOver 2.555%
Double chanceNo strong lean70%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

No strong lean — near even (37% / 33% / 30%), projecting 2-1.

Projected 2-1 from 1.5–1.3 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 58%, over 2.5 goals 55%. Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Tight race

    → Neutral

    Low model conviction — outcome finely balanced

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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