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1º de Agosto vs Green Mamba — CAF Confederation Cup

1º de Agosto crest1º de Agosto
Full time2–0
Green Mamba crestGreen Mamba

How the call landed

CAF Confederation Cup·11 Sep
Result hit
Model called
1º de Agosto crest1DA3–0GMGreen Mamba crest
Full time
1º de Agosto crest1DA2–0GMGreen Mamba crest
Markets
Both teams to score: NoTotal goals: Over 2.5

Got right

  • –Called the result correctly.
  • –Both teams to score call landed (No).

Surprised the model

  • –Scoreline differed (called 3-0, finished 2-0).
  • –Total goals call missed (called Over 2.5, was Under 2.5).

Takeaway. Called home win, finished 2-0 — partial.

Confidence HighCalibration error 0.03

What the model said before kickoff

Featured pickCAF Confederation Cup
Fri 11 Sep · 16:00 SAST
1º de Agosto crest1º de Agosto
Projected3–0xG 2.90 · 0.70
Green Mamba crestGreen Mamba

The model leans 1 De Agosto (82%), projecting 3-0.

1DADrawGM
Model confidenceHigh
LeanModerateHigh
Markets
Result1 De Agosto win82%
Both teams to scoreNo55%
Total goalsOver 2.568%
Double chance1 De Agosto or draw94%
Read the case

18+ · Model predictions are statistical estimates for information and entertainment — not betting advice, and never a guarantee. Past accuracy doesn’t predict future results. Play responsibly.

The case

The model leans 1 De Agosto (82%), projecting 3-0.

Projected 3-0 from 2.9–0.7 expected goals; both-teams-to-score 45%, over 2.5 goals 68%. Model projects 2.88–0.66 expected goals

Tactical factors

What tips the balance

  • Expected-goals edge

    → 1DA

    Model projects 2.88–0.66 expected goals

  • Open, high-scoring profile

    → Neutral

    Over 2.5 goals ~68% likely

  • Model conviction

    → Neutral

    Strong, decisive model signal

Accountability

Prediction receipts

Every published version of this prediction is stored and never edited. The version live at kickoff is the one scored against the result.

No published versions recorded for this match.

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